Prognostic indicators in patients with isolated thoracic trauma: A retrospective cross-sectional study

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Küçük Resim

Tarih

2024

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Turkish Association of Trauma and Emergency Surgery

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess

Özet

Thoracic trauma is a significant cause of mortality, especially among those arriving at hospitals. This study explores the associations between mortality, the shock index (SI), and specific metabolic and biochemical markers in patients with isolated thoracic trauma. METHODS: This retrospective cross-sectional study included all consecutive adult patients presenting with isolated thoracic trauma to a high-volume emergency department from January 2019 to December 2023. The predictive capability of SI levels and selected biomarkers upon admission for estimating mortality was assessed by determining the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs). Optimal cutoff values were determined using the Youden index method. RESULTS: The study involved 352 patients, with 285 (81%) being males and an average age of 50.0±17.7 years. The mortality rate was 9.6%. Mortality was significantly associated with higher shock index (odds ratio [OR]: 14.02, [95% confidence interval [CI] 0.8470.916], AUC=0.885, p=0.001), glucose/potassium ratio (OR: 1.24 [95% CI 1.14-1.35], AUC=0.869, p<0.001), and lactate levels (OR: 4.30 [95% CI 2.29-8.07], AUC=0.832, p<0.001). The optimal cutoff values determined for the shock index, glucose/potassium ratio, ionized calcium, and lactate were 1.02 (sensitivity, 94.1%; specificity 69.5%; positive predictive value [PPV], 24.8; negative predictive value [NPV], 99.1), 36.85 (sensitivity, 76.5%; specificity, 87.7%; PPV, 40.0; NPV, 97.2), 1.23 (sensitivity, 94.1%; specificity, 56.0%; PPV, 18.6; NPV, 98.9), and 1.98 (sensitivity, 70.6%; specificity, 80.5%; PPV, 27.9; NPV, 96.2), respectively. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that higher shock index, glucose/potassium ratio, and lactate levels are significantly associated with increased mortality in patients with isolated thoracic trauma. These findings suggest that these markers can be effective prognostic indicators, potentially guiding clinical decision-making and improving patient outcomes.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Calcium, Glucose/potassium Ratio, Injury, Lactate, Mortality, Shock Index, Thoracic Trauma

Kaynak

Ulusal Travma ve Acil Cerrahi Dergisi

WoS Q Değeri

N/A

Scopus Q Değeri

Q3

Cilt

30

Sayı

10

Künye