Determinants of Fertility Rates in OECD Countries: A Panel ARDL Bounds Testing Approach

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dc.authorid0000-0001-8552-8151
dc.authorid0000-0002-6830-8090
dc.authorid0000-0003-0128-4001
dc.contributor.authorDemirci, Şenol
dc.contributor.authorKonca, Murat
dc.contributor.authorİlgün, Gülnur
dc.date.accessioned2025-07-11T11:12:56Z
dc.date.available2025-07-11T11:12:56Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.departmentSağlık Bilimleri Fakültesi
dc.description.abstractThe fertility rate affects countries in many ways, including education, health care, social security and economic systems. It was important to understand the short-run and the long-run determinants of the total fertility rates (TFRs) in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. This study aimed to examine the short-run and the long-run effects of gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, labour force participation (LFP) rate for females, and mean age at first birth on the TFR in OECD countries for the period between 1991 and 2017 by employing a panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method. According to the results, GDP per capita and mean age at first birth statistically significantly affected the TFR both in the long run and the short run (p <.05). The effects of these two variables should be taken into account in population planning.
dc.identifier.doi10.1177/09720634251328092
dc.identifier.endpage200
dc.identifier.issn09720634
dc.identifier.issue2
dc.identifier.scopus105002021158
dc.identifier.startpage195
dc.identifier.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.1177/09720634251328092
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12451/13264
dc.identifier.volume27
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001456390600001
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ4
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.institutionauthorİlgün, Gülnur
dc.institutionauthorid0000-0003-0128-4001
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSage Publications India Pvt. Ltd
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Health Management
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.subjectFirst Birth
dc.subjectLabour Force
dc.subjectOrganisation For Economic Co-operation and Development
dc.subjectPanel Autoregressive Distributed Lag
dc.subjectTotal Fertility Rates
dc.titleDeterminants of Fertility Rates in OECD Countries: A Panel ARDL Bounds Testing Approach
dc.typeArticle

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