Analyzing temperature trends using innovative trend analyses in certain regions of Norway

dc.authorid0000-0001-7547-847X
dc.authorid0000-0003-2906-0771
dc.authorid0000-0002-1870-3535
dc.contributor.authorTuğrul, Türker
dc.contributor.authorOruç, Sertaç
dc.contributor.authorHınıs, Mehmet Ali
dc.date.accessioned2025-07-17T12:32:36Z
dc.date.available2025-07-17T12:32:36Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.departmentMühendislik Fakültesi
dc.description.abstractA number of methods are used in the literature to track and monitor meteorological events in a region and make future predictions. Temperatures are one of the most important parameters that trigger changes in meteorological events. In this study, the trends in temperatures, which are a type of indicator of natural disasters in the Norwegian region, were examined. As trend analysis methods, the Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA), the Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis (IPTA), the Innovative trend pivot analysis method (ITPAM), and the Mann–Kendall Trend Test (MK) were preferred and data of monthly average temperature were collected from 4 different stations (Bodo, Karasjok, Oslo, and Tromsø) between 1948 and 2023. The results indicate the existence of increasing trends in all regions. This does not represent a risk or negativity for the region, but an advantage for this region. Furthermore, the results indicated that MK, in contrast to the other methods, was inadequate for identifying the specific trend and non-monotonic trend. Besides, in the annual MK analysis, Bodo, Oslo and Tromso displayed significant trends (p value < 0.05) with z-scores of 2.64, 2.48 and 2.07, respectively while with a z-score of 1.45, Karasjok did not exhibited a significant trend. In addition, one of the notable findings in this study is the demonstrated effectiveness of the graphical methods (ITA, ITPAM, and IPTA), as reflected in the trend results. The findings of this study are expected to support institutions or organizations in executing measures for natural disaster mitigation.
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11600-025-01594-6
dc.identifier.issn18956572
dc.identifier.scopus105006532690
dc.identifier.uri10.1007/s11600-025-01594-6
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12451/13355
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001493678200001
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ2
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.institutionauthorHınıs, Mehmet Ali
dc.institutionauthorid0000-0002-1870-3535
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
dc.relation.ispartofActa Geophysica
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectIPTA
dc.subjectITA
dc.subjectITPAM
dc.subjectMK Trend Test
dc.subjectNorway
dc.subjectRisk Assessment
dc.titleAnalyzing temperature trends using innovative trend analyses in certain regions of Norway
dc.typeArticle

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