Trend analysis of hydrological and meteorological drought in Apa Dam, Türkiye

dc.authorid0000-0001-7547-847X
dc.authorid0000-0002-1870-3535
dc.contributor.authorTuğrul, Türker
dc.contributor.authorHınıs, Mehmet Ali
dc.date.accessioned2024-09-03T07:45:58Z
dc.date.available2024-09-03T07:45:58Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.departmentMühendislik Fakültesi
dc.description.abstractDrought indices, such as the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Stream Flow Drought Index (SDI), are mathematical indicators that represent an overall decrease in average amounts of rainfall over a specific period of time. The changing values of SPI and SDI can be determined by trend analysis and can help decision makers in estimating and managing the future values of water resources on issues such as dam management and energy production. In this study, in addition to SPI12 and SDI12, trend analyzes of monthly precipitation and stream flow data affecting drought were also conducted. Mann–Kendall Test (MK), Spearman's Rho test, Sen-Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA) were chosen as trend analysis. As a result of the analysis, in precipitation performed with MK, an increasing trend at 95% significance level was detected in January, while no trend was found in the other months. While increasing trends were found in all months using SPI12, no trend was detected in SDI12. In Spearman's Rho test, no trend was detected in SDI12 and precipitation for all months, whereas increasing trend for January, February and April were detected for SPI12 and January for streamflow data. The analysis made with ITA was evaluated in two parts, graphically and statistically. The graphical method was carried out for monthly data. In statistical evaluation of ITA for SPI12 and SDI12, increasing trends were detected for all monthly data, however, in the graphical analysis, different results were obtained for each month, which did not fully support the results of the statistical analysis.
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s12665-024-11791-z
dc.identifier.issn1866-6280
dc.identifier.issue17en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.urihttps:/dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12665-024-11791-z
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12451/12392
dc.identifier.volume83en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/A
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
dc.relation.ispartofEnvironmental Earth Sciences
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess
dc.subjectDam Management
dc.subjectDrought Trend Test
dc.subjectInnovative Trend Analysis
dc.subjectMann–Kendall Trend Test
dc.subjectSpearman’s Rho Trend Test
dc.subjectThe Apa Dam
dc.titleTrend analysis of hydrological and meteorological drought in Apa Dam, Türkiye
dc.typeArticle

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