Changing characteristics of regional and site-based frequency distribution under the non-stationary process

dc.authorid0000-0002-1870-3535
dc.authorid0000-0003-4938-663X
dc.contributor.authorHınıs, Mehmet Ali
dc.contributor.authorYürekli, Kadri
dc.date.accessioned2023-01-19T12:31:22Z
dc.date.available2023-01-19T12:31:22Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.departmentMühendislik Fakültesi
dc.description.abstractThe probability of the occurrence belonging to heavy rainfalls that directly triggers the flood is estimated with the common assumption that the process by which it occurred is under stationary conditions. By accepting this threat as if it does not exist in our globe, which is faced with the reality of global warming and climate change, estimating the required design values in the construction of hydraulic structures with frequency analysis of the relevant data would cause the failure of the water-related structures. This study was carried out to come up with how the regional and site-based frequency distribution would change under non-stationary conditions. The L-moments algorithm, Monte Carlo Simulation technique, and the magnitude of the trend calculated by Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA) were involved in scrutinizing the impact of non-stationary conditions on frequency analysis of annual maximum daily rainfall data sets. By including the own time-dependent change (trend) of each data in synthetic data, synthetically produced rainfall data was intended to reflect the actual conditions effectively. The simulated data has increased the heterogeneity of the entire region compared to the observed data and led to considerable differences in regional and site-based quantile estimates, and this difference became a nonlinear increase, especially after the 90% probability level. Based on this study, by considering stations with longer and equal or nearly equal observation periods in alternative regions, the change of frequency distribution behaviour in non-stationary conditions can be scrutinized with different methodologies.
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s12205-022-0651-y
dc.identifier.endpage453en_US
dc.identifier.issn1226-7988
dc.identifier.issn1976-3808
dc.identifier.issue1en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ2
dc.identifier.startpage442en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps:/dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12205-022-0651-y
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12451/9984
dc.identifier.volume27en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000864982700005
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherKorean Society of Civil Engineers
dc.relation.ispartofKSCE Journal of Civil Engineering
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess
dc.subjectMaximum Rainfall
dc.subjectL-moment
dc.subjectITA Test
dc.subjectRegionalization Under Non-stationarity
dc.titleChanging characteristics of regional and site-based frequency distribution under the non-stationary process
dc.typeArticle

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