Forecasting impacts of climate and land-use change on Vallonea oak (Quercus ithaburensis subsp. macrolepis) based on the ensemble modeling

dc.authorid0000-0001-7029-4241
dc.contributor.authorKenar, Nihal
dc.date.accessioned2025-04-09T11:27:44Z
dc.date.available2025-04-09T11:27:44Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.departmentSabire Yazıcı Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi
dc.description.abstractAlthough Mediterranean species demonstrate a strong ability to survive in degraded and arid environments, it is crucial to acknowledge the significant influence that climate change can have on them. Woodlands dominated by Quercus ithaburensis subsp. macrolepis are part of an agroforestry system in the Mediterranean region, hence, the potential changes in its distribution were investigated under future climate and land-use change scenarios through species distribution modeling. The modeling results show that the suitable habitats for the species are mainly concentrated in Greece and the west of Anatolia, which are already natural ranges. In addition, climate has a higher influence on the thriving strength and distribution of the species than land-use, with temperature being the primary factor driving these effects. Therefore, the distribution of the species is predicted to undergo small declines in suitable habitats and to be more influenced by climate change than the combination of land-use and climate change in case of minor temperature increases. However, the synergistic influence of land-use and climate change is expected to have a more adverse impact on the distribution of the species than climate change alone in case of major temperature changes, thus leading to a more significant decrease in the species’ habitats.
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/11263504.2024.2434250
dc.identifier.endpage14
dc.identifier.issn11263504
dc.identifier.issue1
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85211799439
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ2
dc.identifier.startpage1
dc.identifier.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.1080/11263504.2024.2434250
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12451/12990
dc.identifier.volume159
dc.identifier.wos001373370100001
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.institutionauthorKenar, Nihal
dc.institutionauthorid0000-0001-7029-4241
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherTaylor and Francis Ltd.
dc.relation.ispartofPlant Biosystems
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.subjectBiomod2
dc.subjectCMIP6
dc.subjectGlobal Warming
dc.subjectPotentially Suitable Habitat
dc.subjectSpecies Distribution Modeling
dc.titleForecasting impacts of climate and land-use change on Vallonea oak (Quercus ithaburensis subsp. macrolepis) based on the ensemble modeling
dc.typeArticle

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