Stochastic assessment of rockburst potential in underground spaces using Monte Carlo simulation

dc.authorid0000-0001-7301-5914
dc.contributor.authorKadkhodaei, Mohammad Hossein
dc.contributor.authorGhasemi, Ebrahim
dc.contributor.authorSarı, Mehmet
dc.date.accessioned2022-09-29T06:16:48Z
dc.date.available2022-09-29T06:16:48Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.departmentMühendislik Fakültesi
dc.description.abstractRockburst (RB) is known as one of the deadliest and most destructive geotechnical events in deep underground spaces under high stresses. The complexity of the RB phenomenon and uncertainty arising from variability in geotechnical and geomechanical conditions makes its prediction very difficult. The current study is an attempt to address the suitability of the stochastic modeling approach for the evaluation of RB potential and to assess the effects of the contributing parameters on the phenomenon. To do this study, a database containing the major effective parameters on RB potential (i.e. stress concentration coefficient, brittleness coefficient, and elastic energy index) compiled from 335 case histories of RB in various underground projects worldwide was applied. Using this database, first, a new deterministic mathematical relation for predicting RB potential was developed using gene expression programming (GEP) method. Then, the RB phenomenon was simulated by the Monte Carlo (MC) method. The results reveal that stochastic modeling is a good means for modeling and evaluating the effects of the variability of contributing parameters on RB. Finally, sensitivity analysis was conducted to analyse the effects of the contributing parameters on RB potential. Sensitivity analysis showed that stress concentration coefficient, brittleness coefficient, and elastic energy index have a direct relationship with RB potential. Furthermore, the elastic energy index was found to be the most effective parameter on the RB potential with regression coefficient of + 0.50.
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s12665-022-10561-z
dc.identifier.endpage-en_US
dc.identifier.issn1866-6280
dc.identifier.issn1866-6299
dc.identifier.issue18en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.startpage-en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps:/dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12665-022-10561-z
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12451/9696
dc.identifier.volume81en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000852586900003
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ2
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSpringer
dc.relation.ispartofEnvironmental Earth Sciences
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess
dc.subjectRockburst
dc.subjectUnderground Spaces
dc.subjectStochastic Modeling
dc.subjectGene Expression Programming
dc.subjectMonte Carlo Simulation
dc.titleStochastic assessment of rockburst potential in underground spaces using Monte Carlo simulation
dc.typeArticle

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