New grey forecasting model with its application and computer code

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Tarih

2021

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

American Institute of Mathematical Sciences

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

Özet

Grey theory is an approach that can be used to construct a model with limited samples to provide better forecasting advantage for short-term problems. In some cases, a grey forecasting model may yield unacceptable forecasting errors. In this work, a new exponential grey prediction model, which is called as EXGM (1,1), is proposed. By using this model, new cases, deaths and recovered cases of COVID-19 in Turkey is forecast. Numerical results show that EXGM (1,1) is a model that performs more accurately than the comparison models.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Grey Systems, COVID-19 Predictions, Grey Forecasting Model, Least Squares Method

Kaynak

AIMS Mathematics

WoS Q Değeri

Q1

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

6

Sayı

2

Künye