A novel fractional forecasting model for time dependent real world cases

dc.authorid0000-0002-4504-3675
dc.authorid0000-0002-8329-5806
dc.authorid0000-0001-5662-4670
dc.contributor.authorErdinç, Ümmügülsüm
dc.contributor.authorBilgil, Halis
dc.contributor.authorÖztürk, Zafer
dc.date.accessioned2024-09-03T11:06:59Z
dc.date.available2024-09-03T11:06:59Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.departmentSabire Yazıcı Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi
dc.description.abstractThe grey modelling in the prediction of time series has been one of the interesting study fields recently due to its efficiency and convenience. Fractional grey models, on the other hand, have become preferable, despite the difficulty in calculations, since they give more effective results than standard models. Difficulties in fractional accumulation and difference calculations have begun to be overcome thanks to new definitions and theorems made in recent years. The new trend in grey modelling is to compose models that are more useful than the previous ones and give results with less error. In this paper, a new grey model derived from the conformable fractional order is defined and it is shown that more effective estimates are made compared to the models created in recent years. The verification of the method is shown with real data set. The results show that the proposed conformable fractional grey model is more effective than the existing models.
dc.identifier.doi10.57805/revstat.v22i2.468
dc.identifier.endpage188en_US
dc.identifier.issn1645-6726
dc.identifier.issue2en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ3
dc.identifier.startpage169en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps:/dx.doi.org/10.57805/revstat.v22i2.468
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12451/12395
dc.identifier.volume22en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/A
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherNational Statistical Institute
dc.relation.ispartofREVSTAT-Statistical Journal
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess
dc.subjectConformable Fractional Calculus
dc.subjectECFGM Model
dc.subjectFractional Grey Model
dc.subjectGrey Systems
dc.subjectLeast Square Method
dc.subjectNonresponse
dc.titleA novel fractional forecasting model for time dependent real world cases
dc.typeArticle

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