The effects of fıscal polıcy on economıc growth nexus ın oecd countrıes: A bootstrap panel granger causalıty analysıs

The paper analyses the potential causalities between tax revenue and economic growth on one hand and government expenditure and economic growth on the other hand. This issue could be crucial for the decision about fiscal policy measures in different countries. Our analysis tries to identify potential relationships, taking into account the differences among countries used in the sample. We applied the bootstrap panel Granger causality approach proposed by Konya [12]. The dataset used in the paper consists of data for 23 OECD countries during the period 1971-2012. Based on our results, there is evidence for government expenditure Granger causing economic growth only in six countries out of 23. The causality in the opposite direction has been found only in France. Furthermore, we have found evidence for tax revenues Granger causing economic growth in six countries, while the opposite causality seems to be present only in four countries.